The Last Of The Millenniums

Just because it always has been, doesn't mean it always will be

Archive for the tag “Election 2016”

Let Trump Be Trump – ‘Caught on Camera: Donald Trump Makes Sure His Own Wife Votes For Him’

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Really Donald?

Are you thar small of a man that you can’t stand your wife making a decision on her own?

Afraid she won’t be voting for you?

https://twitter.com/AnupKaphle/status/796020757965000705/video/1

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For Election Fanatics – Slate ‘VoteCastr’ Turnout Tracker

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http://www.slate.com/votecastr_election_day_turnout_tracker.html

Worth looking at form time to time.
It covers

Florida
Iowa
Nev.
N.H.
Ohio
Pa.
Wis.

The Day in a Picture

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Tomorrow | Hillary Clinton

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President Hillary Rodham Clinton

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I was actuall a little concerned yester when I predicted

Clinton – 348

Trump 192

But everything I was looking at was saying that.

Everything.

I might be a State or two high but……..
Every single major electoral vote forecast also gives the advantage to Hillary Clinton.

New York Times/Upshot: 84%

FiveThirtyEight: 72%

Princeton: 99%

DailyKos: 92%

Huffington Post: 98%
In addition, the Cook Political Report and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball also point to a Clinton victory.

Election Night Time Table

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I’m predicting a 9PM PT or Midnight ET election call by the networks.

An electoral blow out and a popular vote win by Hillary of 5%+.

Clinton – 348

Trump – 192

Some States are split as to closing times.

I’ve highlighted the States in the time that ALL of the votes will now be counted.

7 PM ET
Florida (Eastern Time Zone only), Indiana (rest of state), Kentucky (rest of state), Georgia, New Hampshire (most towns), South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia
________________

7:30 PM ET
North Carolina, Ohio, and West Virginia
________________

8 PM ET
Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida (rest of state), Illinois, Kansas (Central Time Zone), Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan (Eastern Time Zone), Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire (rest of state), New Jersey, North Dakota (part of state), Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota (Central Time Zone), Tennessee, Texas (Central Time Zone), Washington, DC
________________

9 PM ET
Arizona, Colorado, Kansas (rest of state), Louisiana, Michigan (rest of state), Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota (rest of state), South Dakota (rest of state), Texas (rest of state), Wisconsin, Wyoming
________________

10 PM ET
Idaho (Mountain Time Zone), Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Oregon (Mountain Time Zone), Utah
________________

11 PM ET
California, Hawaii, Oregon (rest of state), Washington
________________
12 AM ET
Alaska (most of state):

1 AM ET
Alaska (rest of state)

State Poll Roundup: Tuesday

political-wire

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Can Hillary add NC? IN? UT? AZ?

Less likely but maybe MO? KY? GA? TX?

October 25, 2016By Taegan Goddard

‘Here are the latest state polls from the presidential race’:

‘Minnesota: Clinton 47%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6% (Mason Dixon)’

North Carolina: Clinton 46%, Trump 39%, Johnson 8% (NYT/Siena)’

Michigan: Clinton 49%, Trump 41%, Johnson 3% (Mitchell Research)’

Real Clear Politics
Average :
Clinton – 45.3
Trump – 39.9
Johnson – 6.0
Stein – 2.2

Clinton – +5.4

Remember this is the popular vote total.
If Johnson gets – Nationally – above 2%, I’d be amazed.
Dito Stein – 1% tops.

Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire :

State Poll Roundup: Tuesday

Real Clear Politics :
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/

Election 2016 – ‘Senate Democrats Poised to Pick Up 5-7 Seats’

Generated by  IJG JPEG Library

Generated by IJG JPEG Library

October 25, 2016By Taegan Goddard

‘Cook Political Report’:

“As such, we are increasing the range of expected Democratic pick ups to five to seven seats. This means that we feel that the prospect that Democrats will have at least 51 seats is greater than the odds of a tied Senate, or of Republicans somehow holding their majority.”

From : https://politicalwire.com/2016/10/25/senate-democrats-poised-pick-5-7-seats/

Let Trump Be Trump…..The Trump Effect – ‘A Democratic Wave Is Building As Number Of Republicans Likely To Vote Drops By Nearly 20%’

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But first – VOTE!

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‘The new ABC News/Washington Post has found that Donald Trump is threatening to depress Republican turnout by nearly 20 points as poll indicators point to a building Democratic wave’.

‘According to the poll’,

“The previous ABC/Post poll found a sharp 12-point decline in enthusiasm for Trump among his supporters, almost exclusively among those who’d preferred a different GOP nominee. Intended participation now has followed: The share of registered Republicans who are likely to vote is down 7 points since mid-October.”

‘An equally large problem for Republicans is that Trump’s support is in collapse with white voters’.

‘Clinton leads Trump with men 44%-41%’.

‘She has gained 12 points with non-college educated white women and has opened up a 32 point lead with college-educated white women’.

‘Trump leads Clinton with white voters by just 4 points, 47%-43%’.

‘Mitt Romney carried these voters by 20 points in 2012’.

From : http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/23/democratic-wave-coming-number-republicans-vote-drops-20.html

Hillary 2016 – ‘Late polls show Dems gaining in governor races’

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Now remember – VOTE!

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‘Democrats face a deep minority among the nation’s governors. Republicans currently hold 31 governorships’.

‘Democrats hold only 18’.

‘Control of the governor’s mansion matters in the 35 states where a governor plays a role in the redistricting process. In those states, the governor is allowed to veto congressional district lines drawn by state legislatures’.
‘A Ball State University poll released Wednesday, conducted for WISH-TV in Indianapolis, shows former Indiana House Speaker John Gregg (D) leading Lt. Gov. Eric Holcomb (R) by a 48 percent to 43 percent margin in the race to replace Republican Gov. Mike Pence, Donald Trump’s running mate’.

‘In North Carolina, another Republican-led state, three surveys released this week show Attorney General Roy Cooper (D) locked in a tight race with Gov. Pat McCrory (R), who has faced nationwide backlash over the state’s law on public bathroom use for transgender people’.

‘A University of New Hampshire poll conducted for WMUR showed Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D) leading fellow Executive Councilor Chris Sununu (R) 44 percent to 38 percent’.

‘A MassInc poll conducted for WBUR released last week showed Van Ostern up 47 percent to 44 percent. Current Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) is running for Senate, hoping to boot the vulnerable GOP Sen. Kelly Ayotte’.

‘In West Virginia, coal executive Jim Justice (D) leads state Senate Majority Leader Bill Cole (R) by a comfortable margin, according to the first poll of the race’.

‘In Montana, both Democrats and Republicans believe Gov. Steve Bullock (D) is likely to win a second term’.

From : http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/governor-races/302286-late-polls-show-dems-gaining-in-governor-races

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