This really comes down to 5 or 6 States.
Just like 1 Senator blocking even debate on legislation.
‘Just like a small minority in the House blocking legislation.
5 or 6 States, gerrymandered and now with electoral votes divided by Congressional districts, a Democrat could win the popular vote by 5 Million even 10 Million votes Nationally – and lose the election.
It’s time to do away with the Electoral College.
If we don’t consider this.
If the Republicans decide to keep hard right, Rick Santorum or Rand Paul could be the next President.
‘There is a chance that this system could be adopted by six battleground states that were carried by Obama in both 2008 and 2012 but where Republicans currently control the governorship and both houses of the legislature: Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin’.
‘Several Republican governors and state legislative leaders in key battleground states have recently expressed support for a plan to change the method of awarding their state’s electoral votes from the current winner-take-all system to one in which one vote would be awarded to the winner of each congressional district in the state and two votes would be awarded to the statewide winner’.
‘The congressional district plan appears reasonable at first glance’.
‘After all, why give all of a state’s electoral votes to the candidate who wins statewide no matter how narrow that candidate’s margin? Awarding electoral votes by congressional district would seem to provide a fairer and more balanced alternative to the winner-take-all system’.
‘But there is a serious problem with this approach. Despite a superficial appearance of fairness, the congressional district plan would be profoundly undemocratic — skewing the results in favor of the party drawing the congressional district lines in a state and greatly increasing the chances of an Electoral College misfire (a victory by the candidate losing the national popular vote)’.
‘The congressional district system, if adopted for the entire nation, would give Republicans a major advantage in presidential elections’.
‘That’s because Republicans controlled the redistricting process after the 2010 census in far more states than Democrats as a result of the GOP’s big gains in the 2010 midterm elections’.
‘By drawing congressional districts that favored the GOP, Republican state legislatures and governors gave their party a big edge in the battle for control of the House of Representatives’.
‘The result was that in 2012, even though Democratic candidates outpolled Republican candidates by more than a million votes across the nation, Republicans kept control of the House by a margin of 234 seats to 201 seats’.
‘The results of GOP gerrymandering were also clearly evident in the presidential election’.
‘Across the nation, Obama defeated Mitt Romney by almost four percentage points and close to five million votes’.
‘However, based on the results that are currently available we can estimate that Romney carried 228 House districts to only 207 for Obama’.
‘So despite Obama’s comfortable margin in the national popular vote, a system that awarded one electoral vote for each House district plus two votes for the statewide winner would have resulted in a Romney victory by 276 electoral votes to 262 electoral votes’.
‘But there is a chance that this system could be adopted by six battleground states that were carried by Obama in both 2008 and 2012 but where Republicans currently control the governorship and both houses of the legislature: Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin’.
‘If these six battleground states were to adopt the congressional district method of awarding electoral votes, it would not guarantee a Republican victory in the 2016 presidential election but it would make such a victory much more likely’.
‘That’s because the congressional district lines in these states were gerrymandered by Republican legislatures following the 2010 census to give their party a huge advantage’.
‘As a result, even though Obama carried all six states in 2012, it appears that Romney carried 61 House districts in these states to only 33 for Obama. Romney appears to have carried 16 of 27 House districts in Florida, 9 of 14 House districts in Michigan, 12 of 16 House districts in Ohio, 12 of 18 House districts in Pennsylvania, 7 of 11 House districts in Virginia and 5 of 8 House districts in Wisconsin’.
‘If the congressional district system had been used in these six states in 2012, instead of Obama winning all of their 106 electoral votes, it appears that Romney would have won 61 electoral votes to only 45 for Obama. As a result, Obama’s margin in the national electoral vote would have been reduced from 332-206 to only 271-267’.
From : http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/republican-electoral-college-plan-would-undermine-democracy/