‘Before rank-and-file conservatives ask, “What went wrong?”, they should ask themselves a question every bit as important: “Why were we the last to realize that things were going wrong for us?”
‘Barack Obama just trounced a Republican opponent for the second time’.
‘But unlike four years ago, when most conservatives saw it coming, Tuesday’s result was, for them, an unpleasant surprise’.
‘So many on the right had predicted a Mitt Romney victory, or even a blowout — Dick Morris, George Will, and Michael Barone all predicted the GOP would break 300 electoral votes’.
‘Joe Scarborough scoffed at the notion that the election was anything other than a toss-up’.
‘Peggy Noonan insisted that those predicting an Obama victory were ignoring the world around them’.
‘Even Karl Rove, supposed political genius, missed the bulls-eye’.
‘These voices drove the coverage on Fox News, talk radio, the Drudge Report, and conservative blogs’.
‘Those audiences were misinformed’.
‘Outside the conservative media, the narrative was completely different’.
‘Its driving force was Nate Silver, whose performance forecasting Election ’08 gave him credibility as he daily explained why his model showed that President Obama enjoyed a very good chance of being reelected’.
‘Sure, Silver could’ve wound up wrong. But people who rejected the possibility of his being right? They were operating at a self-imposed information disadvantage’.
‘It is easy to close oneself off inside a conservative echo chamber. And right-leaning outlets like Fox News and Rush Limbaugh’s show are far more intellectually closed than CNN or public radio’.
‘If you’re a rank-and-file conservative, you’re probably ready to acknowledge that ideologically friendly media didn’t accurately inform you about Election 2012’.
‘You haven’t just been misinformed about the horse race. Since the very beginning of the election cycle, conservative media has been failing you’.
‘With a few exceptions, they haven’t tried to rigorously tell you the truth, or even to bring you intellectually honest opinion’.
‘What they’ve done instead helps to explain why the right failed to triumph in a very winnable election’.
‘Conservatives were at an information disadvantage because so many right-leaning outlets wasted time on stories the rest of America dismissed as nonsense’.
‘WorldNetDaily brought you birtherism. Forbes brought you Kenyan anti-colonialism’.
‘National Review obsessed about an imaginary rejection of American exceptionalism, misrepresenting an Obama quote in the process’,
‘And Andy McCarthy was interviewed widely about his theory that Obama, aka the Drone Warrior in Chief, allied himself with our Islamist enemies in a “Grand Jihad” against America’.
‘Conservatives were at a disadvantage because their information elites pandered in the most cynical, self-defeating ways, treating would-be candidates like Sarah Palin and Herman Cain as if they were plausible presidents rather than national jokes who’d lose worse than George McGovern’.
‘How many hours of Glenn Beck conspiracy theories did Fox News broadcast to its viewers’?
‘How many hours of transparently mindless Sean Hannity content is still broadcast daily’?
‘Why don’t Americans trust Republicans on foreign policy as they once did? In part because conservatism hasn’t grappled with the foreign-policy failures of George W. Bush’.
‘A conspiracy of silence surrounds the subject’.
‘Romney could neither run on the man’s record nor repudiate it’.
‘The most damaging Romney gaffe of the campaign, where he talked about how the 47 percent of Americans who pay no income taxes are a lost cause for Republicans’?
‘Either way, bad information within the conservative movement was to blame’.
‘But I expect that it’ll be quickly forgotten, that none of the conservatives who touted a polling conspiracy will be discredited, and that the right will continue to operate at an information disadvantage’.
‘After all, it’s not like they’ll trust the analysis of a non-conservative like me more than the numerous fellow conservatives who constantly tell them things that turn out not to be true’.
From : http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/11/how-conservative-media-lost-to-the-msm-and-failed-the-rank-and-file/264855/