The Last Of The Millenniums

Just because it always has been, doesn't mean it always will be

The Daily 2012 – I’m calling that the President also wins the popular vote

I’ve already called an Electoral College win for President Obama.

Obama – 294
Romney – 244

And even THAT spread may be widening.

But now I also see the trending is going to a popular vote win for the President.

I also see the Democrats picking up 2-3 seats in the Senate but staying even or up 4/down 2 in the House.

The exact same gridlock that we’ve seen for the last two years.

Either the Republicans will want to join in in Governing the United States or they won’t.

My bet is the smart ones will and they will simply step away from the extreme, ‘no compromise’ minority.

So look for fewer filibusters in the Senate and maybe even filibuster reform so that legislation can actually be debated and voted on.

And also look for Speaker John Boehner and President Obama to get very serious on a ‘Grand Bargain’ with lots and lots of Simpson/Bowles in it.

The Romney/Ryan ticket is set to lose all 3 of their ‘home’ States.

Ma, Mi and Wi.

The people that know them the best.

‘Here are the latest polls from the battleground states’:

Colorado: Romney 47%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Me – If Romney loses Florida – then it’s over for him.
Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 45% (Miami Herald/Mason-Dixon)

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Me – Iowa is getting stronger for the President. A lot of carry over from the auto States and Mitt Romney’s lie about exxporting jobs.
Iowa: Obama 47%, Romney 42% (Des Moines Register)

Iowa: Obama 47%, Romney 44% (Project New America)

Me – Michigan was never in doubt but again a lot of bad reaction to Mitt Romney lying about the exporting of auto jobs.
Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

New Hampshire: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (WMUR)

Me – With luck, the Obama winn will be large enough to avoid a recount or the mess that Secretary of State jon Husted has made of voting in Ohio.
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)

Ohio: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (NBC/WSJ/Marist)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 45% (Project New America)

As with all Republicans, they for some reason think they can win in PA.
Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

A bonus for Obama.
Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 48% (We Ask America)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)

And again. Never in doubt.
Wisconsin: Obama 52%, Romney 45% (We Ask America)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 48% (Public Policy Polling)

Wisconsin: Obama 48%, Romney 43% (Project New America)
From : http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/03/latest_swing_state_polls.html

 

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4 thoughts on “The Daily 2012 – I’m calling that the President also wins the popular vote

  1. I don’t expect any Republican congressmen or senators to suddenly start compromising with Obama if he wins. They will be well aware that if they do, they won’t survive their primary challenges. Richard Lugar is just one example.

    • Boehner actually had a deal with Obama on increased taxes along with spending cuts……until he presented it to the extreme Republicans.
      I think Boehner knows how serious the ‘fiscal cliff’ is in January and will work during the lame duck to get a ‘bargain with Obama. He’ll use 150 rational Republicans along with 100+ Democrats and pass it a tax cut for the middle class and a tax increase on millionares. Reid can do the same in the Senate.
      And ditto the budget in March. Boehner will be popular by compromising with the President and they’ll do spending cuts and tax increases.
      Of course if we don’t, and the politicians that have been around and actually understand budgets do, then as a Nation we will be so screwed.
      And if screwing ourselves won’t be enough, we will start a World wide recession that will make 2008 -2009 look like just a cash flow problem.
      Like I say, I think they will pass legislation in January and March but the fun will be watching the off the scale rfeaction by the extreme right minority.

      • I hope you are right. I’ve pretty much lost all hope that Republicans can be persuaded to put the interests of the country ahead of the interests of the party.

      • Republicans in general I agree. Boehner is actually a pretty nice and intelligent guy. He knows just how bad it will get if we don’t do something. The ‘We will work to make Obama a one term President’ is gone after the election. So I think Boehner will build on that and say ‘We have to do this’ and if the far right fringe doesn’t go along with it, he goes over to the Democrats and gets the rest of the votes he needs.
        Then again maybe the Republicans will shut down the Government and as the ripples of that cross the Oceans, World Wide recession.

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