I’m still holding on President Obama winning the Electoral vote and Mitt Winning the popular vote. 294 to 244.
The trending is still solid towards the re-election of President Obama in the Electoral College and a ‘renewed’ but still tentative trend towards a popular vote win for him. Too early on calling that.
On the popular vote – 3 things will effect that.
The President able by doing what the President is suppose to do on responding to Hurricane Sandy. Looking and acting calmly, decisively and ‘Presidential’.
See : ‘Storm Response Earns Obama Praise Amid the Election’s Deadlock Drama’
’78 percent rate Obama’s response to the hurricane positively (as excellent or good), while just 8 percent see it negatively. Romney, is rated positively for his response to the hurricane by 44 percent, negatively by 21 percent, with many more, 35 percent, expressing no opinion’.
@ : http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/10/storm-response-earns-obama-praise-amid-the-elections-deadlock-drama/
The Romney lie on the automakers sending jobs to China ad. The automakers themselves coming out and saying Romney is misleading, is having a National effect. A very negative National effect on the Romney campaign.
And these two events are going to effect the third – voter turnout.
A President BEING Presidential and actually caring (meeting with Chrisite) about the 100% in the most PUBLIC display of bi partisanship and Romney’s lies publicly exposed by the American auto industry.
As to the ‘Republican ‘brand’, I came accross this article :
‘Is the Republican Brand Keeping Romney Down’?
From the article – ‘Simply put, I think a case can be made that the Republican brand name is acting as a drag on Mitt Romney’s candidacy.”
The Republican ‘brand’ is composed of the character and principles of the politicians that represent Conservative values.
Some, a small minority, but very vocal and thus highlighted (and seen to reflect the party), have representated their values as being to the far right, the extreme right. As for Mitt Romney, he has shown repeatedely that it’s impossible to have a constructive debate because #1 he changes positions almost daily (telling whoever he is speaking to what they want to hear) and #2, lies openly and seemingly very easily.
The Republican party is not a ‘drag’ on Mitt Romney nor the other extreme candidates – they, Mitt Romney and the extreme candidates are a ‘drag’ on the Republican party.
In 2016, have a SERIOUS primary – WITHOUT people like Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Donald Trump, Herman Cain as your ‘leading’ candidates.
Instead have Jon Huntsman, Jeb Bush, Chris CHristie.
Bring serious candidates and the Country will take you seriously.
Bring the same group as you did in 2012, you WON’T have the benefit of a fraction of your party voting AGAINST President Obama instead of FOR Mitt Romney.
Without that dynamic, the Republican party will lose and lose HUGE!
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states:
Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)
Colorado: Romney 46%, Obama 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)
Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (University of Cincinnati)
Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)
Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Gravis)
Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (We Ask America)
Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)
Iowa: Romney 45%, Obama 44% (University of Iowa)
Iowa: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (We Ask America)
Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)
Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 42% (EPIC-MRA)
North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)
Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Franklin and Marshall)
Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)
Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 44% (Roanoke)
Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (Reuters/Ipsos)
Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)
Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 43% (Marquette Law)
From : http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/31/latest_swing_state_polls.html