The electoral map is via Sabato’s Crystal Ball @ : http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-president/
Obama/ Democrats = 237 Republicans = 206
I’m still holding with Obama winning the electoral and easily but Romney winning the popular. The debates will decide by how much or even IF Romney wins the popular.
But should we be talking Obama’s ‘coattails’?
Just a year ago Republicans were looking at taking the Senate :
‘Republicans Favored to Take Control of Senate’
@ : http://politicalwire.com/archives/2011/06/23/republicans_favored_to_take_control_of_senate.html
But now with North Dakota, Ariaona and Missouri, Democrats are looking to hold the Senate.
And the House?
‘Why Democrats Could Take Back The House in 2012’
@ : http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/political_commentary/commentary_by_alan_i_abramowitz/why_democrats_could_take_back_the_house_in_2012
While I’m no fan of Rasmussen as they just slup for FOX now and even the logic in this article is faulty, they left out the one and real reason the Democrats could, could gain 10-15 seats in the House.
We want a Government to govern.
‘A rare display of bipartisanship before a deadline’
‘After two near-government shutdowns last year, as well as a near-debt default last summer, Congress has seen its approval ratings plummet, and public confidence in Washington has dropped to all-time lows. Each time, Congress
narrowly averted a full-blown crisis moments before their deadlines’.
‘But one conservative group, the Tea Party Patriots, scoffed at the deal, saying the “lack of guts” exhibited by Boehner and Reid is “destroying” the nation’.
From : http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0712/79197.html
‘Tea Party: Bring on a government shutdown’
@ : http://articles.cnn.com/2011-04-06/politics/tea.party.shut.down_1_government-shutdown-spending-cuts-republican-pledge?_s=PM:POLITICS
‘Tea Party wants US default to advance ‘starve the government’ scheme’
@ : http://www.allvoices.com/contributed-news/9789498-tea-party-wants-us-default-to-advance-starve-the-government-scheme
Add to this no economic plan or vision from Romney or the Republicans, threatened Government shutdown next Spring and an extreme right turn on social issues by Republicans (who SAY they want the Government out of our business) adds up to a shift.