If I were President Obama, I’d start buying lottery tickets because he HAS to be the luckiest politician in the History of the United States.
From ‘an attack on religious freedom’ to Senator Blount putting forth legislation about ‘conscious objection’ allowing ALL employers to cut ALL birth control and even other coverage from offered insurance.
It’s like reactionary politics on bad steriods.
Lets have a room full of men debate and decide birth control issues for women.
Now. Any questions as to why Congress has a 10% approval rating?
Do Republicans just NOT want women to vote for them – ever?
And the President also got another week or twos break from the eventual Greek debt collaspe so the EU will stay intact for a while longer.
If the EU holds together until the end of the year (less then 50% – 50% ON that) so that there ISN’T the domino effect of collasping currencies and economies and the US still has a large population to export to and our own economy keeps trending upwards (or at least not downwards) then President Obama should have a fairly easy re-election in November.
It seems the Republicans don’t want to run anyone credible against him.
Mitt Romney –
There just isn’t a ‘base’ for him. It comes down to ‘Well, he’s not as bad as the others’.
And the desperation in his pleas from the stump –
‘trees are just the right height’
‘Trees are the right height?” Yes I know that’s just one sentence out of his apperance there but it’s a pattern he repeats everywhere.
‘If I eat that bug, will you vote for me?’
Romneycare, his ‘economic plan’ that raises taxes on those making under $50,000 and cutting them on those making over and his disconnect – $10,000 bets, ‘Corporations are people too’, paying a tax rate much lower then the majoeity of middle class Americans.
If he loses in Michigan, he has the money and organization to keep going but Super Tuesday will give him another ‘punch’ and the mounting string of State loses then nullifies his ‘electibility’.
Rick Santorum –
Maybe one of the better explanations.
Yet the Constitution only mentions religion twice :
Article 6 – ‘ but no religious test shall ever be required as a qualification to any office or public trust under the United States’.
And the First Amendment – ‘Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof’.
A person can be religious but OUR government isn’t. And that is what scares and puts more and more people off of Santorum.
Add to this he is starting to steer his campaign towards ‘real Americans’ vs. the ‘elite’.
We just went through this 2 years ago re:the Tea Party. Americans have already decided (with only minor exceptions) that we are ALL Americans. ‘Real’ is a political hot button term not a practical reality.
Santorum’s strenght is in the 20% – 40% of the Conservatives that are mad at Government in general. Again this is a minority as the majorily of Americans want Government to function. See Congress 10% approval rating.
If Santorum wins Michigan and then continues his run, Romney will start to gain popularity again as Santorum has more and more exposure.
In a General Election, a Santorum candidacy could result in one of the greatest political defeats in US history.
Newt Gingrich –
If Adelson keeps funding him through Super Tuesday –
Then Newt will pick up steam – again! – winning maybe 2 or 3 of the Southern States. Newt’s orgainzation FAILED to get him on the Virginia ballot or he could have won in additional State.
But Newt’s Billionare is only funding him so that he will stop Santorum.
How, in the long term, how will THAT sit with the angry, vindictive Newt is yet to be seen.
Ron Paul –
The ‘tortoise’ of the Republican Presidential candidates. Slowly, methodically collecting delegates.
He has no chance of winning the nomination. He won’t run as a 3rd Party candidate. But he COULD become a sort of power broker at the Republican Convention.
As Mitt, Rick and maybe even Newt, scramble to get enoungh delegates to win, Ron will be sitting there saying, make me Sec. of Defense or State and I’ll give you my delegates.
WAY ‘outside the box’ scenarios –
Thankfully if it comes to a ‘brokered’ Convention, Sarah Palin has agreed to ‘help’and do what needs to be done –
Yeah. She blew her chance last Spring with teasing Republicans.
But now for some REAL OUTSIDE THE BOX thinking –
Jeb Bush did not endorse ANYONE during his State’s primary. The Convention will be in Flordia.
And Jeb Bush is one of only two people ( Governor Chris Christie being the other) to have enough Natioanl name recognition and would bring instant enthusiasm.
The Republicans running, with each passing day, are proving that they aren’t a credible challenge to President Obama.
Former Governor Jeb Bush and Governor Chris Christie COULD be the last and only ‘hope’ for Republicans.
A very, very good read at Sabato’s Crystal Ball :
And the Republican Primary schedule :
‘Sarah Palin told Fox Business that a brokered Republican presidential convention was a possibility and that if it happened she “would do whatever I could to help’.”
‘Said Palin: “If one of the nominees, one of the GOPers, doesn’t get enough delegates, it could go to a brokered convention. If it does get to that, and someone said, ‘Governor, would you be interested,’ would you be interested? For one, I think that it could get to that… If it had to be closed up today, the whole nominating process, then we could be looking at a brokered convention… Nobody is quite there yet, so I think that months from now, if that is the case, all bets are off as to who it will be, willing to offer up themselves up in their name in service to their country.”
From : http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/02/16/palin_would_help_a_brokered_convention.html
But sadly it won’t be to elect him but rather have him attack Rick so that Mitt can win.
‘Billionaire Sheldon Adelson, by far the biggest financial backer of Newt Gingrich’s presidential bid, is preparing to open his wallet again. But this time, the casino magnate appears to have more than one agenda’.
‘In a bit of political chess, Mr. Adelson is ready to not only directly support the former House speaker in the Republican primary, but to use his cash to push Rick Santorum from his position atop the latest national polls, according to people who have discussed the matter with Mr. Adelson’.
‘If Mr. Gingrich could afford to continue campaigning, one of those people said, he might be able to draw off conservative and evangelical voters from Mr. Santorum, improving the chances of Mitt Romney, who Mr. Adelson believes has a better chance to win November’s general election’.
From : http://online.wsj.com/article_email/SB10001424052970204062704577223583032248366-lMyQjAxMTAyMDEwNTExNDUyWj.html?mod=e2tw